Atletico-MG vs Gremio — Prediction & Probabilities — Brasileirão Série A 2026 | ProbFut

ProbFut

Football probability analysis powered by Elo ratings, Poisson distribution & Monte Carlo simulation.

© 2026 ProbFut

Leagues

Brasileirão Série A Bundesliga LaLiga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A

Project

Methodology About

Contact us

contato@probfut.com

Dashboard Standings Magic Numbers Simulator

Atletico-MG vs Gremio — Prediction & Probabilities — Brasileirão Série A 2026 | ProbFut

GAL vs GRE

Sat, 08/15, 07:30 PMMRV Arena · Belo Horizonte

Atletico-MG

vs

Gremio

Win 48%Draw 22%Win 30%

What's at stake

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.

46%

Probability — Atletico-MG

Wins required by confidence level

75% confidence

9Wins/ 19

90% confidence

9Wins/ 19

99% confidence

11Wins/ 19

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.

26%

Probability — Gremio

Wins required by confidence level

75% confidence

10Wins/ 19

90% confidence

11Wins/ 19

99% confidence

11Wins/ 19

Head-to-head

Last meeting · Matchday 4GRE 2 — 1 GAL

Explore in the simulator Back to matchday 23 Atletico-MG Gremio

Brasileirão Série A