ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 03

Atletico Paranaense

Pts

49

MP

28

W

14

GD

+11

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
19%

Probability — Atletico Paranaense

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 10
90% confidence
4Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

By beating Bahia 2-1 at home, Atletico Paranaense consolidated their place in the G-4 and reached a 77% probability of direct qualification for the Libertadores. O Furacão need 6 wins from their remaining 10 matches to confirm a direct berth at the 75% confidence interval, a target underpinned by their steady form at Arena da Baixada. Their next challenge comes against Atletico-MG on October 8, a crucial head-to-head clash to defend 3rd place.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atletico Paranaense's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Atletico Paranaense has a 19.3% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico Paranaense need for Libertadores Playoff?
Atletico Paranaense needs 4 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.