Bahia

A 2-1 away defeat against Atletico Paranaense kept Bahia in 5th place and lowered their chances of a direct Libertadores berth to 22%, while consolidating a 41% likelihood of entering the preliminary round. O Tricolor de Aço need 7 wins from their final 10 games to secure a direct spot with a 75% probability, requiring a high points haul given the fierce competition at the top. Their next fixture comes on October 9 against Palmeiras, a demanding test away from Salvador.