ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 08

Atletico-MG

Pts

36

MP

25

W

10

GD

+2

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
15%

Probability — Atletico-MG

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 13
90% confidence
11Wins/ 13
99% confidence
13Wins/ 13

ProbFut AI Analysis

Atletico-MG stumbled in a 2-0 defeat to Sao Paulo and sit 8th with 36 points from 25 matches. Galo have a 54% probability of reaching the Sul-Americana and 25% for the Libertadores playoffs, needing 8 wins from their final 13 matches to chase a top-6 finish with 75% confidence. The side return to action on September 12 when they host Fluminense.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Atletico-MG's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Atletico-MG has a 15.1% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico-MG need for Libertadores?
Atletico-MG needs 11 wins in 13 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.