Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 07
Atletico-MG
Pts
40
MP
27
W
11
GD
+4
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.11%
Probability — Atletico-MG
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 11
90% confidence
11Wins/ 11
99% confidence
11Wins/ 11
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 1-1 home stumble against Chapecoense-sc cut Atletico-MG's chances of reaching the G-4 to 11%, pushing their Sul-Americana probability to 57%. Sitting on 40 points with a game in hand, o Galo need 9 wins from their remaining 11 rounds to keep their hopes of a direct Libertadores spot alive at the 75% confidence mark. The team return to action on October 8 against Atletico Paranaense in an away clash that will dictate their ambitions in the tournament.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Atletico-MG's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Atletico-MG has a 10.8% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Atletico-MG need for Libertadores?
Atletico-MG needs 11 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.