ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 20

Chapecoense-sc

Pts

18

MP

27

W

3

GD

-24

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
75% confidence
9Wins
90% confidence
9Wins
99% confidence
9Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.✕
✕
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.0%
—
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Despite a heroic 1-1 draw against Atletico-MG, Chapecoense-sc remain stuck at the bottom of the table on 18 points, with probabilistic models rating relegation at nearly 100%. A Chape would need 9 wins from their remaining 11 matches to reach safety at the 75% confidence threshold, a virtually impossible scenario given their return of just 3 wins in 27 rounds. The Santa Catarina outfit next face Vitoria on October 7.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
29(VIT)
1.04
30(CAP)
1.09
31(BOT)
0.93
32(FLU)
1.10
33(BRA)
0.86