ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12

Botafogo

Pts

35

MP

28

W

9

GD

-4

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
4%

Probability — Botafogo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 10
90% confidence
9Wins/ 10
99% confidence
10Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-0 setback against Mirassol left Botafogo stalled in 12th place on 35 points, dropping their chances of reaching the preliminary Libertadores rounds to near zero and shifting their focus toward the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 68% probability. O Glorioso need 5 wins from their remaining 10 matches to guarantee continental qualification with 75% certainty, while relegation danger remains safely distant at just 2%. On October 7, the team play a regional derby against Vasco DA Gama.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Botafogo's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Botafogo has a 4.2% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Botafogo need for Libertadores Playoff?
Botafogo needs 9 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.