ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 16

Vasco DA Gama

Pts

31

MP

27

W

8

GD

-7

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
75% confidence
6Wins
90% confidence
8Wins
99% confidence
8Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.1%
—
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.1%
10Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

With a commanding 5-0 rout over Coritiba, Vasco DA Gama gained crucial breathing room, slashing their relegation probability from 49% to 22%. O Gigante da Colina need 4 wins from their remaining 11 matches to secure safety with 75% confidence, while even opening up a 25% chance of reaching the Sul-Americana. The Cruzmaltino side's next fixture is a derby against Botafogo on October 7.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
29(BOT)
1.14
30(REM)
1.72
31(PAU)
1.09
32(COR)
1.59
33(FLA)
1.10