ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 11

Botafogo

Pts

30

MP

23

W

8

GD

0

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
4%

Probability — Botafogo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 15
90% confidence
5Wins/ 15
99% confidence
5Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Botafogo were beaten 3-2 at home by Atletico Paranaense and saw their momentum slip in 11th place. With 30 points from 23 matches, Glorioso have the Sul-Americana as their most likely outcome at 59%, requiring 7 wins from their remaining 15 matches to reach the 75% confidence mark. The team face a derby clash against Flamengo on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Botafogo's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Botafogo has a 4.1% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Botafogo need for Escape Relegation?
Botafogo needs 5 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.