Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 12
Botafogo
Pts
35
MP
28
W
9
GD
-4
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.2%
Probability — Botafogo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
3Wins/ 10
90% confidence
3Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 2-0 setback against Mirassol left Botafogo stalled in 12th place on 35 points, dropping their chances of reaching the preliminary Libertadores rounds to near zero and shifting their focus toward the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 68% probability. O Glorioso need 5 wins from their remaining 10 matches to guarantee continental qualification with 75% certainty, while relegation danger remains safely distant at just 2%. On October 7, the team play a regional derby against Vasco DA Gama.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Botafogo's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Botafogo has a 2.3% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Botafogo need for Escape Relegation?
Botafogo needs 3 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.