ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 09

Coritiba

Pts

38

MP

28

W

10

GD

-6

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
1%

Probability — Coritiba

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 10
90% confidence
10Wins/ 10
99% confidence
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ProbFut AI Analysis

A 5-0 thrashing against Vasco DA Gama halted Coritiba's momentum and saw their Sul-Americana probability drop to 57%. O Coxa need 4 wins from their remaining 10 rounds to seal a spot in the continental tournament with 75% confidence, while their relegation risk remains residual at 3%. The Paraná side will look to bounce back on October 9 when they visit Fluminense in Rio de Janeiro.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Coritiba's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Coritiba has a 0.1% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Coritiba need for Libertadores?
Coritiba needs 10 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.