ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 09

Coritiba

Pts

38

MP

28

W

10

GD

-6

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
3%

Probability — Coritiba

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 10
90% confidence
2Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 5-0 thrashing against Vasco DA Gama halted Coritiba's momentum and saw their Sul-Americana probability drop to 57%. O Coxa need 4 wins from their remaining 10 rounds to seal a spot in the continental tournament with 75% confidence, while their relegation risk remains residual at 3%. The Paraná side will look to bounce back on October 9 when they visit Fluminense in Rio de Janeiro.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Coritiba's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Coritiba has a 3.4% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Coritiba need for Escape Relegation?
Coritiba needs 2 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.