ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02

Flamengo

Pts

45

MP

23

W

13

GD

+24

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
37%

Probability — Flamengo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
13Wins/ 15
90% confidence
15Wins/ 15
99% confidence
15Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Flamengo suffered a 2-1 away setback against Cruzeiro and saw the league leaders pull further ahead at the top. On 45 points from 23 matches, Rubro-Negro saw their title probability drop from 67% to 37%, requiring 13 wins from their remaining 15 matches to claim the title within the 75% confidence band. The team will face a derby against Botafogo on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Flamengo's chances of achieving Champion?
Flamengo has a 37.2% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Flamengo need for Champion?
Flamengo needs 15 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.