ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 01

Flamengo

Pts

60

MP

28

W

18

GD

+32

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
77%

Probability — Flamengo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 10
90% confidence
10Wins/ 10
99% confidence
10Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 victory over RB Bragantino extended Flamengo's lead at the summit to 60 points and elevated their chances of lifting the league title to 77%. O Mengão need 7 wins from the final 10 rounds to mathematically secure the trophy with 75% confidence, with direct Libertadores qualification already virtually assured. The Rubro-Negro side next face Santos on October 8 at Vila Belmiro.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Flamengo's chances of achieving Champion?
Flamengo has a 76.7% probability of achieving Champion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Flamengo need for Champion?
Flamengo needs 10 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.