ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02

Flamengo

Pts

45

MP

22

W

13

GD

+25

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
75% confidence
12Wins
90% confidence
16Wins
99% confidence
16Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.99%
7Wins
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.1%
5Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Flamengo thrashed Mirassol 5-1 and pulled away as the title frontrunners, reaching a 67% probability. With 45 points and a game in hand over leaders Palmeiras, Mengão need 12 wins in their remaining 16 matches to confirm the title at a 75% confidence level. The Rubro-Negro visit Cruzeiro on August 22.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
24(CRU)
1.44
25(BOT)
1.91
26(REM)
1.63
27(COR)
1.86
28(BRA)
1.87