Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02
Flamengo
Pts
45
MP
23
W
13
GD
+24
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.98%
Probability — Flamengo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 15
90% confidence
7Wins/ 15
99% confidence
11Wins/ 15
ProbFut AI Analysis
Flamengo suffered a 2-1 away setback against Cruzeiro and saw the league leaders pull further ahead at the top. On 45 points from 23 matches, Rubro-Negro saw their title probability drop from 67% to 37%, requiring 13 wins from their remaining 15 matches to claim the title within the 75% confidence band. The team will face a derby against Botafogo on August 30.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Flamengo's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Flamengo has a 97.7% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Flamengo need for Libertadores?
Flamengo needs 7 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.