ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 01

Flamengo

Pts

60

MP

28

W

18

GD

+32

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
✓

Probability — Flamengo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
2Wins/ 10
90% confidence
5Wins/ 10
99% confidence
5Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 2-1 victory over RB Bragantino extended Flamengo's lead at the summit to 60 points and elevated their chances of lifting the league title to 77%. O Mengão need 7 wins from the final 10 rounds to mathematically secure the trophy with 75% confidence, with direct Libertadores qualification already virtually assured. The Rubro-Negro side next face Santos on October 8 at Vila Belmiro.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Flamengo's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Flamengo has a 99.9% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Flamengo need for Libertadores?
Flamengo needs 5 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.