ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02

Flamengo

Pts

45

MP

23

W

13

GD

+24

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
2%

Probability — Flamengo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 15
90% confidence
7Wins/ 15
99% confidence
7Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Flamengo suffered a 2-1 away setback against Cruzeiro and saw the league leaders pull further ahead at the top. On 45 points from 23 matches, Rubro-Negro saw their title probability drop from 67% to 37%, requiring 13 wins from their remaining 15 matches to claim the title within the 75% confidence band. The team will face a derby against Botafogo on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Flamengo's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Flamengo has a 2.0% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Flamengo need for Libertadores Playoff?
Flamengo needs 7 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.