ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 15

Gremio

Pts

25

MP

23

W

6

GD

-7

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
1%

Probability — Gremio

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
14Wins/ 15
90% confidence
15Wins/ 15
99% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

Gremio were beaten 1-0 by RB Bragantino and remain under pressure in 15th place with 25 points from 23 matches. Tricolor Gaúcho face a relegation risk calculated at 32%, requiring 6 wins from their remaining 15 matches to ensure top-flight survival at the 75% threshold. Their next fixture against Chapecoense-sc takes place on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Gremio's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Gremio has a 0.0% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Gremio need for Libertadores?
Gremio needs 15 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.