ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 02

Palmeiras

Pts

57

MP

28

W

16

GD

+26

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Champion

Wins needed to finish in 1st place.
75% confidence
9Wins
90% confidence
10Wins
99% confidence
—
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.99%
3Wins
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.1%
2Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 0-0 draw against Gremio saw Palmeiras' title chances shrink to 23%, leaving them 3 points adrift of the leaders. O Verdão need to win 9 of their remaining 10 games to keep their title hopes alive at the 75% confidence interval, though direct Libertadores qualification is already virtually assured at 99%. The Alviverde side will seek an immediate rebound on October 9 against Bahia at Allianz Parque.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
29(BAH)
1.82
30(COR)
2.03
31(CAP)
1.35
32(BRA)
1.93
33(SAN)
1.50