ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 15

Gremio

Pts

25

MP

23

W

6

GD

-7

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
1%

Probability — Gremio

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
12Wins/ 15
90% confidence
13Wins/ 15
99% confidence
15Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Gremio were beaten 1-0 by RB Bragantino and remain under pressure in 15th place with 25 points from 23 matches. Tricolor Gaúcho face a relegation risk calculated at 32%, requiring 6 wins from their remaining 15 matches to ensure top-flight survival at the 75% threshold. Their next fixture against Chapecoense-sc takes place on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Gremio's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Gremio has a 0.3% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Gremio need for Libertadores Playoff?
Gremio needs 13 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.