ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 17

Gremio

Pts

29

MP

28

W

7

GD

-8

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
65%

Probability — Gremio

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
5Wins/ 10
90% confidence
5Wins/ 10
99% confidence
6Wins/ 10

ProbFut AI Analysis

A goalless draw against Palmeiras kept Gremio mired in the Z-4 on 29 points, raising their relegation probability to an alarming 65%. O Tricolor Gaúcho need to rack up 5 wins from the remaining 10 rounds to reach safety at the 75% confidence mark, under pressure from a recent lack of victories. Their next battle comes on October 7 against Remo, a desperate six-pointer in the fight for survival.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Gremio's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Gremio has a 64.6% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Gremio need for Escape Relegation?
Gremio needs 5 wins in 10 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.