ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 15

Gremio

Pts

25

MP

23

W

6

GD

-7

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
19%

Probability — Gremio

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 15
90% confidence
9Wins/ 15
99% confidence
11Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Gremio were beaten 1-0 by RB Bragantino and remain under pressure in 15th place with 25 points from 23 matches. Tricolor Gaúcho face a relegation risk calculated at 32%, requiring 6 wins from their remaining 15 matches to ensure top-flight survival at the 75% threshold. Their next fixture against Chapecoense-sc takes place on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Gremio's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Gremio has a 18.5% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Gremio need for Sulamericana?
Gremio needs 9 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.