ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 13

Sao Paulo

Pts

27

MP

23

W

7

GD

0

Primary Objective

Libertadores

Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.
1%

Probability — Sao Paulo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
13Wins/ 15
90% confidence
15Wins/ 15
99% confidence
15Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sao Paulo stumbled in a 1-0 away defeat to Chapecoense-sc and dropped to 13th place with 27 points from 23 matches. Soberano keep their sights on the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 55% chance of qualification, needing 8 wins from their remaining 15 matches to secure that berth at 75% confidence. The team host RB Bragantino on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Sao Paulo has a 0.6% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Libertadores?
Sao Paulo needs 15 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.