Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 11
Sao Paulo
Pts
36
MP
27
W
10
GD
+2
Primary Objective
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.1%
Probability — Sao Paulo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 11
90% confidence
11Wins/ 11
99% confidence
11Wins/ 11
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 1-0 home win over Internacional at the Morumbi brought stability to Sao Paulo, lifting them to 36 points and establishing a 74% probability of qualifying for the Sul-Americana. O Tricolor need 5 wins from their remaining 11 fixtures to lock down continental qualification at the 75% probability mark, keeping their relegation risk down to just 1%. The team return to the pitch on October 8 against Cruzeiro in Belo Horizonte.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Libertadores?
Sao Paulo has a 0.5% probability of achieving Libertadores, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Libertadores?
Sao Paulo needs 11 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.