ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 11

Sao Paulo

Pts

36

MP

27

W

10

GD

+2

What does the team need?

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
75% confidence
5Wins
90% confidence
5Wins
99% confidence
5Wins
Libertadores
Wins needed to qualify directly for the Libertadores.1%
10Wins
75% confidence
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.4%
9Wins
75% confidence

ProbFut AI Analysis

A 1-0 home win over Internacional at the Morumbi brought stability to Sao Paulo, lifting them to 36 points and establishing a 74% probability of qualifying for the Sul-Americana. O Tricolor need 5 wins from their remaining 11 fixtures to lock down continental qualification at the 75% probability mark, keeping their relegation risk down to just 1%. The team return to the pitch on October 8 against Cruzeiro in Belo Horizonte.

Remaining Fixtures

RDOpponentW / D / LExp. Pts
29(CRU)
1.06
30(VIT)
1.76
31(VAS)
1.69
32(MIR)
1.28
33(BAH)
1.05