Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 11
Sao Paulo
Pts
36
MP
27
W
10
GD
+2
Primary Objective
Libertadores Playoff
Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.4%
Probability — Sao Paulo
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 11
90% confidence
9Wins/ 11
99% confidence
11Wins/ 11
ProbFut AI Analysis
A 1-0 home win over Internacional at the Morumbi brought stability to Sao Paulo, lifting them to 36 points and establishing a 74% probability of qualifying for the Sul-Americana. O Tricolor need 5 wins from their remaining 11 fixtures to lock down continental qualification at the 75% probability mark, keeping their relegation risk down to just 1%. The team return to the pitch on October 8 against Cruzeiro in Belo Horizonte.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Sao Paulo has a 4.3% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Libertadores Playoff?
Sao Paulo needs 9 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.