ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 13

Sao Paulo

Pts

27

MP

23

W

7

GD

0

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
4%

Probability — Sao Paulo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
12Wins/ 15
90% confidence
12Wins/ 15
99% confidence
13Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sao Paulo stumbled in a 1-0 away defeat to Chapecoense-sc and dropped to 13th place with 27 points from 23 matches. Soberano keep their sights on the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 55% chance of qualification, needing 8 wins from their remaining 15 matches to secure that berth at 75% confidence. The team host RB Bragantino on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Sao Paulo has a 4.1% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Libertadores Playoff?
Sao Paulo needs 12 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.