ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 13

Sao Paulo

Pts

27

MP

23

W

7

GD

0

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
55%

Probability — Sao Paulo

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
8Wins/ 15
90% confidence
8Wins/ 15
99% confidence
9Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Sao Paulo stumbled in a 1-0 away defeat to Chapecoense-sc and dropped to 13th place with 27 points from 23 matches. Soberano keep their sights on the Sul-Americana, where they hold a 55% chance of qualification, needing 8 wins from their remaining 15 matches to secure that berth at 75% confidence. The team host RB Bragantino on August 29.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Sao Paulo's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Sao Paulo has a 55.1% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Sao Paulo need for Sulamericana?
Sao Paulo needs 8 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.