ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 16

Vasco DA Gama

Pts

31

MP

27

W

8

GD

-7

Primary Objective

Libertadores Playoff

Wins needed to reach the Libertadores playoff spots.
1%

Probability — Vasco DA Gama

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
10Wins/ 11
90% confidence
11Wins/ 11
99% confidence
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ProbFut AI Analysis

With a commanding 5-0 rout over Coritiba, Vasco DA Gama gained crucial breathing room, slashing their relegation probability from 49% to 22%. O Gigante da Colina need 4 wins from their remaining 11 matches to secure safety with 75% confidence, while even opening up a 25% chance of reaching the Sul-Americana. The Cruzmaltino side's next fixture is a derby against Botafogo on October 7.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vasco DA Gama's chances of achieving Libertadores Playoff?
Vasco DA Gama has a 0.2% probability of achieving Libertadores Playoff, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vasco DA Gama need for Libertadores Playoff?
Vasco DA Gama needs 11 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.