ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 19

Vasco DA Gama

Pts

22

MP

23

W

5

GD

-14

Primary Objective

Escape Relegation

Wins needed to escape direct relegation.
68%

Probability — Vasco DA Gama

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
7Wins/ 15
90% confidence
9Wins/ 15
99% confidence
9Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vasco DA Gama suffered a 4-1 loss against Palmeiras and remained stuck in 19th place with 22 points from 23 matches. Cruz-Maltino saw their relegation risk reach 68%, requiring 7 wins from their remaining 15 matches to hit the safe points threshold at a 75% probability. Their next encounter is against Cruzeiro on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vasco DA Gama's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Vasco DA Gama has a 67.7% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vasco DA Gama need for Escape Relegation?
Vasco DA Gama needs 9 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.