Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 16
Vasco DA Gama
Pts
31
MP
27
W
8
GD
-7
Primary Objective
Escape Relegation
Wins needed to escape direct relegation.22%
Probability — Vasco DA Gama
Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
4Wins/ 11
90% confidence
4Wins/ 11
99% confidence
5Wins/ 11
ProbFut AI Analysis
With a commanding 5-0 rout over Coritiba, Vasco DA Gama gained crucial breathing room, slashing their relegation probability from 49% to 22%. O Gigante da Colina need 4 wins from their remaining 11 matches to secure safety with 75% confidence, while even opening up a 25% chance of reaching the Sul-Americana. The Cruzmaltino side's next fixture is a derby against Botafogo on October 7.
FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Vasco DA Gama's chances of achieving Escape Relegation?
Vasco DA Gama has a 21.9% probability of achieving Escape Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vasco DA Gama need for Escape Relegation?
Vasco DA Gama needs 4 wins in 11 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.