ProbFut
Brasileirão Série A · 2026 · # 19

Vasco DA Gama

Pts

22

MP

23

W

5

GD

-14

Primary Objective

Sulamericana

Wins needed to qualify for the Sulamericana.
5%

Probability — Vasco DA Gama

Wins required by confidence level
75% confidence
9Wins/ 15
90% confidence
11Wins/ 15
99% confidence
11Wins/ 15

ProbFut AI Analysis

Vasco DA Gama suffered a 4-1 loss against Palmeiras and remained stuck in 19th place with 22 points from 23 matches. Cruz-Maltino saw their relegation risk reach 68%, requiring 7 wins from their remaining 15 matches to hit the safe points threshold at a 75% probability. Their next encounter is against Cruzeiro on August 30.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What are Vasco DA Gama's chances of achieving Sulamericana?
Vasco DA Gama has a 5.5% probability of achieving Sulamericana, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.
How many wins does Vasco DA Gama need for Sulamericana?
Vasco DA Gama needs 11 wins in 15 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.