What are Athletic Club's chances of achieving Relegation?

Athletic Club has a 14.3% probability of achieving Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Athletic Club need for Relegation?

Athletic Club needs 14 wins in 36 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série B

Season 2026

10th place·4 points·Current Elo: 1508

Relegation

14%

Athletic Club has a 14% chance of being relegated and needs 14 wins in 36 remaining matches to escape relegation.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Relegation	14/36	14/36	15/36

Expected points: 55

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