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Magic Numbers
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The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
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Brasileirão Série B
Sport Recife
# 01 · 22 pts
75%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Vila Nova
# 02 · 22 pts
51%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
São Bernardo
# 03 · 21 pts
65%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Nautico Recife
# 04 · 19 pts
44%
Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
Fortaleza EC
# 05 · 18 pts
19%
Promotion
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Goias
# 06 · 17 pts
17%
Promotion
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Novorizontino
# 07 · 17 pts
25%
Promotion
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Criciuma
# 08 · 17 pts
31%
Promotion
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Athletic Club
# 09 · 17 pts
20%
Promotion
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Juventude
# 10 · 16 pts
15%
Promotion
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Operario-PR
# 11 · 16 pts
7%
Promotion
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
CRB
# 12 · 14 pts
10%
Promotion
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
18
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
Ceara
# 13 · 13 pts
5%
Promotion
REL
20%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
Atletico Goianiense
# 14 · 13 pts
4%
Promotion
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
Cuiaba
# 15 · 13 pts
5%
Promotion
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
19
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
Avai
# 16 · 10 pts
2%
Promotion
REL
48%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
20
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
Botafogo SP
# 17 · 9 pts
4%
Promotion
REL
24%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
20
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
21
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
28
W
/ 28G
Londrina
# 18 · 8 pts
56%
Escape Relegation
REL
56%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
12
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
Ponte Preta
# 19 · 7 pts
81%
Escape Relegation
REL
81%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12
W
/ 28G
90% confidence
14
W
/ 28G
99% confidence
14
W
/ 28G
America Mineiro
# 20 · 3 pts
97%
Escape Relegation
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13
W
/ 27G
90% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
99% confidence
27
W
/ 27G
