What are Vila Nova's chances of achieving Promotion?

Vila Nova has a 22.5% probability of achieving Promotion, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Vila Nova need for Promotion?

Vila Nova needs 21 wins in 35 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série B

Season 2026

6th place·5 points·Current Elo: 1505

Promotion

23%

Vila Nova has a 23% chance of achieving promotion and needs 20 wins in 35 remaining matches.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Promotion	20/35	21/35	26/35

Expected points: 54

3647546273

P5P25P50P75P95

...