What are Vila Nova's chances of achieving Relegation?

Vila Nova has a 14.7% probability of achieving Relegation, based on Monte Carlo simulations with 20,000 iterations.

How many wins does Vila Nova need for Relegation?

Vila Nova needs 14 wins in 35 remaining matches to achieve the objective with 90% confidence.

Brasileirão Série B

Season 2026

6th place·5 points·Current Elo: 1505

Relegation

15%

Vila Nova has a 15% chance of being relegated and needs 14 wins in 35 remaining matches to escape relegation.

Objective	75%	90%	99%
Relegation	14/35	14/35	17/35

Expected points: 54

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