Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 83 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
1W/ 6G
90% confidence
1W/ 6G
99% confidence
3W/ 6G
Millwall
# 02 · 72 pts61%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
1W/ 5G
90% confidence
2W/ 5G
99% confidence
2W/ 5G
Ipswich
# 03 · 72 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
1W/ 7G
90% confidence
3W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Middlesbrough
# 04 · 72 pts83%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
1W/ 5G
90% confidence
2W/ 5G
99% confidence
2W/ 5G
Hull City
# 05 · 67 pts76%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
3W/ 6G
90% confidence
3W/ 6G
99% confidence
6W/ 6G
Wrexham
# 06 · 64 pts42%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 6G
90% confidence
6W/ 6G
99% confidence
6W/ 6G
Derby
# 07 · 63 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 5G
90% confidence
5W/ 5G
99% confidence
—
Southampton
# 08 · 63 pts65%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 7G
90% confidence
5W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
Norwich
# 09 · 58 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Bristol City
# 10 · 57 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
QPR
# 11 · 57 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Watford
# 12 · 57 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Stoke City
# 13 · 54 pts0%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Swansea
# 14 · 54 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Preston
# 15 · 54 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Birmingham
# 16 · 53 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 5G
90% confidence
0W/ 5G
99% confidence
0W/ 5G
Sheffield Utd
# 17 · 51 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 5G
90% confidence
0W/ 5G
99% confidence
1W/ 5G
Charlton
# 18 · 49 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 5G
90% confidence
1W/ 5G
99% confidence
2W/ 5G
Blackburn
# 19 · 47 pts12%Escape Relegation
REL
12%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 5G
90% confidence
2W/ 5G
99% confidence
2W/ 5G
Leicester
# 20 · 47 pts18%Escape Relegation
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 5G
90% confidence
2W/ 5G
99% confidence
2W/ 5G
West Brom
# 21 · 45 pts34%Escape Relegation
REL
34%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 5G
90% confidence
2W/ 5G
99% confidence
5W/ 5G
Portsmouth
# 22 · 42 pts51%Escape Relegation
REL
51%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 6G
90% confidence
3W/ 6G
99% confidence
6W/ 6G
Oxford United
# 23 · 41 pts84%Escape Relegation
REL
84%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 5G
90% confidence
4W/ 5G
99% confidence
4W/ 5G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 13 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—