Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Bristol City
# 01 · 3 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Stoke City
# 02 · 3 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Millwall
# 03 · 3 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Southampton
# 04 · 3 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Leicester
# 05 · 3 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
West Brom
# 06 · 3 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Charlton
# 07 · 3 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Middlesbrough
# 08 · 3 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Portsmouth
# 09 · 3 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 45G
90% confidence
25W/ 45G
99% confidence
26W/ 45G
Birmingham
# 10 · 1 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Ipswich
# 11 · 1 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Preston
# 12 · 1 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
QPR
# 13 · 1 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Hull City
# 14 · 1 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Coventry
# 15 · 1 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Norwich
# 16 · 0 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 17 · 0 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Wrexham
# 18 · 0 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Swansea
# 19 · 0 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Watford
# 20 · 0 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Blackburn
# 21 · 0 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Oxford United
# 22 · 0 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Derby
# 23 · 0 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 0 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
19%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 45G
90% confidence
26W/ 45G
99% confidence
27W/ 45G