Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 25 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
22W/ 35G
99% confidence
24W/ 35G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 24 pts59%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
22W/ 35G
90% confidence
23W/ 35G
99% confidence
24W/ 35G
Millwall
# 03 · 20 pts32%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
19W/ 35G
99% confidence
20W/ 35G
Bristol City
# 04 · 19 pts67%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
19W/ 35G
99% confidence
20W/ 35G
Charlton
# 05 · 18 pts64%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Stoke City
# 06 · 18 pts51%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Hull City
# 07 · 18 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
QPR
# 08 · 18 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
West Brom
# 09 · 17 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Leicester
# 10 · 17 pts60%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Preston
# 11 · 16 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
20W/ 35G
99% confidence
21W/ 35G
Watford
# 12 · 15 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 35G
90% confidence
11W/ 35G
99% confidence
12W/ 35G
Birmingham
# 13 · 15 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Ipswich
# 14 · 14 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Wrexham
# 15 · 13 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Swansea
# 16 · 13 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 35G
90% confidence
21W/ 35G
99% confidence
22W/ 35G
Portsmouth
# 17 · 13 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 35G
90% confidence
11W/ 35G
99% confidence
12W/ 35G
Southampton
# 18 · 12 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 35G
90% confidence
12W/ 35G
99% confidence
13W/ 35G
Derby
# 19 · 11 pts8%Escape Relegation
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 35G
90% confidence
12W/ 35G
99% confidence
13W/ 35G
Sheffield Utd
# 20 · 9 pts89%Escape Relegation
REL
89%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 35G
90% confidence
13W/ 35G
99% confidence
14W/ 35G
Oxford United
# 21 · 9 pts10%Escape Relegation
REL
10%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 35G
90% confidence
13W/ 35G
99% confidence
14W/ 35G
Norwich
# 22 · 8 pts26%Escape Relegation
REL
26%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 35G
90% confidence
13W/ 35G
99% confidence
14W/ 35G
Blackburn
# 23 · 8 pts61%Escape Relegation
REL
61%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 35G
90% confidence
13W/ 35G
99% confidence
14W/ 35G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 6 pts93%Escape Relegation
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 35G
90% confidence
14W/ 35G
99% confidence
15W/ 35G