Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 28 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
23W/ 34G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 25 pts53%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 34G
90% confidence
18W/ 34G
99% confidence
19W/ 34G
Millwall
# 03 · 23 pts48%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 34G
90% confidence
18W/ 34G
99% confidence
19W/ 34G
Bristol City
# 04 · 22 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
20W/ 34G
Stoke City
# 05 · 21 pts62%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 34G
90% confidence
19W/ 34G
99% confidence
20W/ 34G
Charlton
# 06 · 19 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Preston
# 07 · 19 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Hull City
# 08 · 19 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
QPR
# 09 · 18 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
West Brom
# 10 · 17 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Ipswich
# 11 · 17 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Leicester
# 12 · 17 pts45%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
20W/ 34G
99% confidence
21W/ 34G
Swansea
# 13 · 16 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Watford
# 14 · 15 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 34G
90% confidence
11W/ 34G
99% confidence
12W/ 34G
Birmingham
# 15 · 15 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 34G
90% confidence
11W/ 34G
99% confidence
12W/ 34G
Wrexham
# 16 · 14 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 34G
90% confidence
21W/ 34G
99% confidence
22W/ 34G
Derby
# 17 · 14 pts3%Escape Relegation
REL
3%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 34G
90% confidence
11W/ 34G
99% confidence
12W/ 34G
Portsmouth
# 18 · 13 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 34G
90% confidence
12W/ 34G
99% confidence
13W/ 34G
Oxford United
# 19 · 12 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 34G
90% confidence
12W/ 34G
99% confidence
13W/ 34G
Southampton
# 20 · 12 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 34G
90% confidence
12W/ 34G
99% confidence
13W/ 34G
Blackburn
# 21 · 11 pts38%Escape Relegation
REL
38%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 34G
90% confidence
12W/ 34G
99% confidence
13W/ 34G
Sheffield Utd
# 22 · 9 pts89%Escape Relegation
REL
89%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 34G
90% confidence
13W/ 34G
99% confidence
14W/ 34G
Norwich
# 23 · 8 pts47%Escape Relegation
REL
47%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 34G
90% confidence
13W/ 34G
99% confidence
14W/ 34G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 6 pts93%Escape Relegation
REL
93%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 34G
90% confidence
14W/ 34G
99% confidence
15W/ 34G