Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 37 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 30 pts58%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 30G
90% confidence
16W/ 30G
99% confidence
17W/ 30G
Stoke City
# 03 · 27 pts50%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Bristol City
# 04 · 26 pts49%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Preston
# 05 · 26 pts45%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
17W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Hull City
# 06 · 25 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Millwall
# 07 · 25 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Ipswich
# 08 · 25 pts58%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
18W/ 30G
Birmingham
# 09 · 24 pts35%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Leicester
# 10 · 24 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Watford
# 11 · 23 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Derby
# 12 · 23 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Charlton
# 13 · 23 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
18W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
QPR
# 14 · 22 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
Wrexham
# 15 · 22 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
19W/ 30G
West Brom
# 16 · 21 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Southampton
# 17 · 21 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Blackburn
# 18 · 20 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
19W/ 30G
90% confidence
19W/ 30G
99% confidence
20W/ 30G
Portsmouth
# 19 · 17 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 30G
90% confidence
10W/ 30G
99% confidence
11W/ 30G
Swansea
# 20 · 17 pts13%Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 30G
90% confidence
10W/ 30G
99% confidence
11W/ 30G
Oxford United
# 21 · 14 pts14%Escape Relegation
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 30G
90% confidence
11W/ 30G
99% confidence
12W/ 30G
Sheffield Utd
# 22 · 13 pts80%Escape Relegation
REL
80%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 30G
90% confidence
11W/ 30G
99% confidence
12W/ 30G
Norwich
# 23 · 9 pts87%Escape Relegation
REL
87%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 30G
90% confidence
12W/ 30G
99% confidence
13W/ 30G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 8 pts97%Escape Relegation
REL
97%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 30G
90% confidence
13W/ 30G
99% confidence
14W/ 30G