Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 40 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
16W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Stoke City
# 02 · 30 pts59%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
19W/ 29G
90% confidence
20W/ 29G
99% confidence
21W/ 29G
Middlesbrough
# 03 · 30 pts53%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 29G
90% confidence
16W/ 29G
99% confidence
17W/ 29G
Millwall
# 04 · 28 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
16W/ 29G
99% confidence
17W/ 29G
Ipswich
# 05 · 28 pts63%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
16W/ 29G
99% confidence
17W/ 29G
Preston
# 06 · 27 pts45%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Bristol City
# 07 · 26 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Derby
# 08 · 26 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Birmingham
# 09 · 25 pts47%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Hull City
# 10 · 25 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
QPR
# 11 · 25 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Wrexham
# 12 · 25 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
17W/ 29G
99% confidence
18W/ 29G
Southampton
# 13 · 24 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Watford
# 14 · 24 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Leicester
# 15 · 24 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Charlton
# 16 · 23 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
West Brom
# 17 · 22 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
18W/ 29G
90% confidence
18W/ 29G
99% confidence
19W/ 29G
Blackburn
# 18 · 20 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 29G
90% confidence
9W/ 29G
99% confidence
10W/ 29G
Swansea
# 19 · 17 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 29G
90% confidence
10W/ 29G
99% confidence
11W/ 29G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 17 pts20%Escape Relegation
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 29G
90% confidence
10W/ 29G
99% confidence
11W/ 29G
Sheffield Utd
# 21 · 16 pts40%Escape Relegation
REL
40%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 29G
90% confidence
11W/ 29G
99% confidence
11W/ 29G
Oxford United
# 22 · 15 pts23%Escape Relegation
REL
23%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 29G
90% confidence
11W/ 29G
99% confidence
12W/ 29G
Norwich
# 23 · 10 pts88%Escape Relegation
REL
88%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 29G
90% confidence
13W/ 29G
99% confidence
13W/ 29G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 8 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 29G
90% confidence
13W/ 29G
99% confidence
14W/ 29G