Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 44 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 39 pts56%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 26G
90% confidence
12W/ 26G
99% confidence
13W/ 26G
Millwall
# 03 · 35 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
14W/ 26G
Ipswich
# 04 · 34 pts51%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
18W/ 26G
99% confidence
19W/ 26G
Preston
# 05 · 32 pts51%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G
Hull City
# 06 · 31 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
QPR
# 07 · 31 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Stoke City
# 08 · 30 pts35%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Southampton
# 09 · 30 pts38%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Bristol City
# 10 · 30 pts34%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 26G
90% confidence
15W/ 26G
99% confidence
16W/ 26G
Birmingham
# 11 · 28 pts29%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Watford
# 12 · 28 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Leicester
# 13 · 28 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Derby
# 14 · 27 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Wrexham
# 15 · 27 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 26G
90% confidence
16W/ 26G
99% confidence
17W/ 26G
Blackburn
# 16 · 25 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
17W/ 26G
99% confidence
18W/ 26G
West Brom
# 17 · 25 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
17W/ 26G
90% confidence
17W/ 26G
99% confidence
18W/ 26G
Sheffield Utd
# 18 · 23 pts9%Escape Relegation
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
9W/ 26G
99% confidence
10W/ 26G
Swansea
# 19 · 23 pts19%Escape Relegation
REL
19%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
9W/ 26G
99% confidence
10W/ 26G
Charlton
# 20 · 23 pts13%Escape Relegation
REL
13%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 26G
90% confidence
9W/ 26G
99% confidence
10W/ 26G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 20 pts33%Escape Relegation
REL
33%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 26G
90% confidence
10W/ 26G
99% confidence
11W/ 26G
Oxford United
# 22 · 19 pts36%Escape Relegation
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 26G
90% confidence
11W/ 26G
99% confidence
12W/ 26G
Norwich
# 23 · 14 pts84%Escape Relegation
REL
84%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
12W/ 26G
90% confidence
12W/ 26G
99% confidence
13W/ 26G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 9 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 26G
90% confidence
14W/ 26G
99% confidence
15W/ 26G