Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 47 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 25G
90% confidence
13W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 42 pts48%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Millwall
# 03 · 35 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
14W/ 25G
Preston
# 04 · 35 pts52%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
14W/ 25G
Hull City
# 05 · 34 pts38%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Ipswich
# 06 · 34 pts59%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
Stoke City
# 07 · 33 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G
QPR
# 08 · 31 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Leicester
# 09 · 31 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Southampton
# 10 · 30 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Bristol City
# 11 · 30 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Derby
# 12 · 30 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
15W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Birmingham
# 13 · 29 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
Watford
# 14 · 29 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
16W/ 25G
West Brom
# 15 · 28 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
17W/ 25G
Wrexham
# 16 · 28 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
16W/ 25G
90% confidence
16W/ 25G
99% confidence
17W/ 25G
Blackburn
# 17 · 25 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Charlton
# 18 · 24 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Sheffield Utd
# 19 · 23 pts14%Escape Relegation
REL
14%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Swansea
# 20 · 23 pts28%Escape Relegation
REL
28%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 23 pts17%Escape Relegation
REL
17%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 25G
90% confidence
9W/ 25G
99% confidence
10W/ 25G
Oxford United
# 22 · 19 pts47%Escape Relegation
REL
47%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
10W/ 25G
90% confidence
11W/ 25G
99% confidence
12W/ 25G
Norwich
# 23 · 17 pts70%Escape Relegation
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
11W/ 25G
90% confidence
11W/ 25G
99% confidence
12W/ 25G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 9 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 25G
90% confidence
14W/ 25G
99% confidence
15W/ 25G