Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 52 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
11W/ 21G
99% confidence
12W/ 21G
Ipswich
# 02 · 44 pts56%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Middlesbrough
# 03 · 43 pts42%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
11W/ 21G
99% confidence
12W/ 21G
Hull City
# 04 · 41 pts46%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Watford
# 05 · 41 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Millwall
# 06 · 40 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Preston
# 07 · 40 pts49%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
12W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Bristol City
# 08 · 39 pts47%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
13W/ 21G
Stoke City
# 09 · 37 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G
Wrexham
# 10 · 37 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G
QPR
# 11 · 35 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Derby
# 12 · 35 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Leicester
# 13 · 34 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Southampton
# 14 · 33 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 21G
90% confidence
15W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Sheffield Utd
# 15 · 32 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 21G
90% confidence
15W/ 21G
99% confidence
16W/ 21G
Swansea
# 16 · 32 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 21G
90% confidence
6W/ 21G
99% confidence
7W/ 21G
West Brom
# 17 · 31 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 21G
90% confidence
7W/ 21G
99% confidence
8W/ 21G
Birmingham
# 18 · 31 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
15W/ 21G
90% confidence
15W/ 21G
99% confidence
16W/ 21G
Blackburn
# 19 · 30 pts9%Escape Relegation
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
7W/ 21G
99% confidence
8W/ 21G
Charlton
# 20 · 28 pts23%Escape Relegation
REL
23%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
8W/ 21G
99% confidence
9W/ 21G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 28 pts24%Escape Relegation
REL
24%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
8W/ 21G
99% confidence
9W/ 21G
Norwich
# 22 · 24 pts63%Escape Relegation
REL
63%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 21G
90% confidence
9W/ 21G
99% confidence
10W/ 21G
Oxford United
# 23 · 22 pts68%Escape Relegation
REL
68%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 21G
90% confidence
10W/ 21G
99% confidence
11W/ 21G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
13W/ 21G
99% confidence
14W/ 21G