Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 52 pts94%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
11W/ 20G
99% confidence
12W/ 20G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 46 pts58%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 20G
90% confidence
11W/ 20G
99% confidence
11W/ 20G
Ipswich
# 03 · 44 pts53%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13W/ 21G
90% confidence
14W/ 21G
99% confidence
15W/ 21G
Millwall
# 04 · 43 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
12W/ 20G
Preston
# 05 · 43 pts53%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
12W/ 20G
Hull City
# 06 · 42 pts37%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
12W/ 20G
Watford
# 07 · 42 pts55%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 20G
90% confidence
12W/ 20G
99% confidence
12W/ 20G
Stoke City
# 08 · 40 pts31%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Wrexham
# 09 · 40 pts29%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
Bristol City
# 10 · 39 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
13W/ 20G
QPR
# 11 · 38 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G
Leicester
# 12 · 37 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
14W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G
Sheffield Utd
# 13 · 35 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 20G
90% confidence
14W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Derby
# 14 · 35 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 20G
90% confidence
14W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Birmingham
# 15 · 34 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 20G
90% confidence
15W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Southampton
# 16 · 33 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 20G
90% confidence
15W/ 20G
99% confidence
15W/ 20G
Swansea
# 17 · 32 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
6W/ 20G
99% confidence
7W/ 20G
West Brom
# 18 · 31 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
6W/ 20G
99% confidence
8W/ 20G
Blackburn
# 19 · 31 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
6W/ 20G
99% confidence
8W/ 20G
Charlton
# 20 · 29 pts21%Escape Relegation
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
8W/ 20G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 28 pts20%Escape Relegation
REL
20%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 21G
90% confidence
7W/ 21G
99% confidence
9W/ 21G
Norwich
# 22 · 24 pts70%Escape Relegation
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 20G
90% confidence
9W/ 20G
99% confidence
10W/ 20G
Oxford United
# 23 · 22 pts73%Escape Relegation
REL
73%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 20G
90% confidence
9W/ 20G
99% confidence
11W/ 20G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G