Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 55 pts95%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 49 pts66%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 19G
90% confidence
9W/ 19G
99% confidence
10W/ 19G
Ipswich
# 03 · 47 pts67%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13W/ 20G
90% confidence
13W/ 20G
99% confidence
14W/ 20G
Millwall
# 04 · 46 pts57%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
10W/ 19G
99% confidence
11W/ 19G
Hull City
# 05 · 45 pts52%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Preston
# 06 · 43 pts54%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 19G
90% confidence
11W/ 19G
99% confidence
12W/ 19G
Watford
# 07 · 42 pts41%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Stoke City
# 08 · 41 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Bristol City
# 09 · 40 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
Wrexham
# 10 · 40 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
12W/ 19G
99% confidence
13W/ 19G
QPR
# 11 · 39 pts7%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Derby
# 12 · 38 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Leicester
# 13 · 37 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
13W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G
Sheffield Utd
# 14 · 35 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 19G
90% confidence
14W/ 19G
99% confidence
15W/ 19G
Birmingham
# 15 · 35 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 19G
90% confidence
14W/ 19G
99% confidence
15W/ 19G
Swansea
# 16 · 33 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
6W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Southampton
# 17 · 33 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
14W/ 19G
90% confidence
15W/ 19G
99% confidence
16W/ 19G
Charlton
# 18 · 32 pts10%Escape Relegation
REL
10%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
6W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
West Brom
# 19 · 31 pts11%Escape Relegation
REL
11%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
7W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Blackburn
# 20 · 31 pts18%Escape Relegation
REL
18%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 19G
90% confidence
7W/ 19G
99% confidence
7W/ 19G
Portsmouth
# 21 · 31 pts15%Escape Relegation
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 20G
90% confidence
7W/ 20G
99% confidence
7W/ 20G
Norwich
# 22 · 27 pts55%Escape Relegation
REL
55%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 19G
90% confidence
8W/ 19G
99% confidence
9W/ 19G
Oxford United
# 23 · 23 pts82%Escape Relegation
REL
82%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
9W/ 19G
90% confidence
9W/ 19G
99% confidence
10W/ 19G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 19G
90% confidence
13W/ 19G
99% confidence
14W/ 19G