Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Stoke City
# 01 · 9 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 43G
90% confidence
23W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 9 pts30%Promotion Playoff
REL
2%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 43G
90% confidence
23W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
Coventry
# 03 · 7 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
West Brom
# 04 · 7 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
Birmingham
# 05 · 7 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
Preston
# 06 · 7 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
24W/ 43G
Leicester
# 07 · 6 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Millwall
# 08 · 6 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Bristol City
# 09 · 5 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
24W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Southampton
# 10 · 4 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Portsmouth
# 11 · 4 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Watford
# 12 · 4 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
12%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Swansea
# 13 · 4 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Charlton
# 14 · 4 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Hull City
# 15 · 4 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
25W/ 43G
Blackburn
# 16 · 3 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Norwich
# 17 · 3 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Ipswich
# 18 · 2 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
25W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Wrexham
# 19 · 1 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Derby
# 20 · 1 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
24%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 21 · 1 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
QPR
# 22 · 1 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
26W/ 43G
Oxford United
# 23 · 0 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
25%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
27W/ 43G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 0 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
30%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
25W/ 43G
90% confidence
26W/ 43G
99% confidence
27W/ 43G