Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 58 pts50%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 58 pts63%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Hull City
# 03 · 54 pts70%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
8W/ 16G
Ipswich
# 04 · 51 pts56%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
12W/ 17G
90% confidence
12W/ 17G
99% confidence
13W/ 17G
Millwall
# 05 · 50 pts44%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 16G
90% confidence
9W/ 16G
99% confidence
10W/ 16G
Wrexham
# 06 · 47 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
10W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Derby
# 07 · 45 pts50%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
11W/ 16G
Watford
# 08 · 44 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Preston
# 09 · 44 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Bristol City
# 10 · 43 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
QPR
# 11 · 43 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Stoke City
# 12 · 42 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Birmingham
# 13 · 42 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Southampton
# 14 · 40 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
12W/ 16G
99% confidence
13W/ 16G
Sheffield Utd
# 15 · 39 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
13W/ 16G
99% confidence
13W/ 16G
Swansea
# 16 · 39 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 16G
90% confidence
13W/ 16G
99% confidence
13W/ 16G
Leicester
# 17 · 38 pts6%Escape Relegation
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 16G
90% confidence
4W/ 16G
99% confidence
5W/ 16G
Portsmouth
# 18 · 36 pts8%Escape Relegation
REL
8%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 17G
90% confidence
5W/ 17G
99% confidence
6W/ 17G
Charlton
# 19 · 35 pts30%Escape Relegation
REL
30%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
5W/ 16G
99% confidence
6W/ 16G
Norwich
# 20 · 33 pts4%Escape Relegation
REL
4%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
7W/ 16G
West Brom
# 21 · 32 pts43%Escape Relegation
REL
43%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
7W/ 16G
Blackburn
# 22 · 32 pts21%Escape Relegation
REL
21%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 16G
90% confidence
6W/ 16G
99% confidence
7W/ 16G
Oxford United
# 23 · 27 pts86%Escape Relegation
REL
86%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
8W/ 16G
90% confidence
8W/ 16G
99% confidence
9W/ 16G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 16G
90% confidence
13W/ 16G
99% confidence
14W/ 16G