Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Middlesbrough
# 01 · 61 pts80%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
9W/ 15G
90% confidence
9W/ 15G
99% confidence
10W/ 15G
Coventry
# 02 · 59 pts68%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 15G
90% confidence
6W/ 15G
99% confidence
7W/ 15G
Hull City
# 03 · 54 pts78%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
8W/ 15G
Ipswich
# 04 · 54 pts71%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
11W/ 16G
90% confidence
11W/ 16G
99% confidence
12W/ 16G
Millwall
# 05 · 53 pts68%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
9W/ 15G
Wrexham
# 06 · 47 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Preston
# 07 · 47 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Bristol City
# 08 · 46 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
10W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Derby
# 09 · 45 pts41%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
Birmingham
# 10 · 45 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
11W/ 15G
QPR
# 11 · 44 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Watford
# 12 · 44 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Stoke City
# 13 · 43 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Southampton
# 14 · 43 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
11W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Swansea
# 15 · 42 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
11W/ 15G
90% confidence
12W/ 15G
99% confidence
12W/ 15G
Sheffield Utd
# 16 · 39 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 15G
90% confidence
13W/ 15G
99% confidence
13W/ 15G
Leicester
# 17 · 38 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 15G
90% confidence
4W/ 15G
99% confidence
5W/ 15G
Norwich
# 18 · 36 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
Portsmouth
# 19 · 36 pts10%Escape Relegation
REL
10%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 16G
90% confidence
5W/ 16G
99% confidence
6W/ 16G
Charlton
# 20 · 36 pts36%Escape Relegation
REL
36%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 15G
90% confidence
5W/ 15G
99% confidence
6W/ 15G
West Brom
# 21 · 33 pts46%Escape Relegation
REL
46%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 15G
90% confidence
6W/ 15G
99% confidence
7W/ 15G
Blackburn
# 22 · 32 pts25%Escape Relegation
REL
25%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 15G
90% confidence
6W/ 15G
99% confidence
7W/ 15G
Oxford United
# 23 · 28 pts78%Escape Relegation
REL
78%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 15G
90% confidence
8W/ 15G
99% confidence
8W/ 15G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 15G
90% confidence
13W/ 15G
99% confidence
14W/ 15G