Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 65 pts71%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 62 pts59%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
8W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Ipswich
# 03 · 57 pts66%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
10W/ 14G
90% confidence
10W/ 14G
99% confidence
11W/ 14G
Millwall
# 04 · 56 pts59%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 13G
90% confidence
7W/ 13G
99% confidence
7W/ 13G
Hull City
# 05 · 54 pts67%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
7W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Wrexham
# 06 · 51 pts33%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
9W/ 13G
Birmingham
# 07 · 49 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Derby
# 08 · 48 pts33%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Watford
# 09 · 48 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Preston
# 10 · 48 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
9W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Bristol City
# 11 · 47 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
QPR
# 12 · 47 pts5%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Southampton
# 13 · 47 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
10W/ 13G
Sheffield Utd
# 14 · 45 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
11W/ 13G
Swansea
# 15 · 45 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
10W/ 13G
99% confidence
11W/ 13G
Stoke City
# 16 · 44 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 13G
90% confidence
11W/ 13G
99% confidence
11W/ 13G
Charlton
# 17 · 40 pts16%Escape Relegation
REL
16%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 13G
90% confidence
4W/ 13G
99% confidence
5W/ 13G
Norwich
# 18 · 39 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
12W/ 13G
90% confidence
12W/ 13G
99% confidence
13W/ 13G
Leicester
# 19 · 39 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 13G
90% confidence
4W/ 13G
99% confidence
5W/ 13G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 39 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 14G
90% confidence
4W/ 14G
99% confidence
5W/ 14G
Blackburn
# 21 · 38 pts9%Escape Relegation
REL
9%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 13G
90% confidence
5W/ 13G
99% confidence
5W/ 13G
West Brom
# 22 · 34 pts70%Escape Relegation
REL
70%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 13G
90% confidence
6W/ 13G
99% confidence
7W/ 13G
Oxford United
# 23 · 29 pts96%Escape Relegation
REL
96%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
7W/ 13G
90% confidence
8W/ 13G
99% confidence
8W/ 13G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 13G
90% confidence
14W/ 13G
99% confidence
14W/ 13G