Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 71 pts82%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 66 pts66%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
3W/ 11G
90% confidence
4W/ 11G
99% confidence
5W/ 11G
Ipswich
# 03 · 63 pts71%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
8W/ 12G
90% confidence
9W/ 12G
99% confidence
10W/ 12G
Millwall
# 04 · 62 pts86%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Hull City
# 05 · 60 pts86%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Wrexham
# 06 · 57 pts46%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
7W/ 11G
99% confidence
8W/ 11G
Southampton
# 07 · 53 pts35%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
8W/ 11G
99% confidence
9W/ 11G
Derby
# 08 · 51 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
9W/ 11G
99% confidence
10W/ 11G
Watford
# 09 · 51 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 11G
90% confidence
9W/ 11G
99% confidence
10W/ 11G
Bristol City
# 10 · 50 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 11G
90% confidence
9W/ 11G
99% confidence
10W/ 11G
Birmingham
# 11 · 49 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
10W/ 11G
Preston
# 12 · 49 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
10W/ 11G
Sheffield Utd
# 13 · 48 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
11W/ 11G
Stoke City
# 14 · 47 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
11W/ 11G
QPR
# 15 · 47 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 11G
90% confidence
10W/ 11G
99% confidence
11W/ 11G
Swansea
# 16 · 46 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 11G
90% confidence
11W/ 11G
99% confidence
11W/ 11G
Norwich
# 17 · 45 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
10W/ 11G
90% confidence
11W/ 11G
99% confidence
12W/ 11G
Charlton
# 18 · 41 pts12%Escape Relegation
REL
12%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 11G
90% confidence
3W/ 11G
99% confidence
4W/ 11G
Leicester
# 19 · 40 pts5%Escape Relegation
REL
5%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 11G
90% confidence
3W/ 11G
99% confidence
4W/ 11G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 39 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 12G
90% confidence
4W/ 12G
99% confidence
4W/ 12G
Blackburn
# 21 · 38 pts15%Escape Relegation
REL
15%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 11G
90% confidence
4W/ 11G
99% confidence
5W/ 11G
West Brom
# 22 · 35 pts81%Escape Relegation
REL
81%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
5W/ 11G
90% confidence
5W/ 11G
99% confidence
6W/ 11G
Oxford United
# 23 · 32 pts85%Escape Relegation
REL
85%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
6W/ 11G
90% confidence
6W/ 11G
99% confidence
7W/ 11G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 11 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 11G
90% confidence
13W/ 11G
99% confidence
14W/ 11G