Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 77 pts98%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 69 pts63%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
2W/ 9G
99% confidence
3W/ 9G
Millwall
# 03 · 68 pts62%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
3W/ 9G
99% confidence
3W/ 9G
Ipswich
# 04 · 65 pts76%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
3W/ 10G
90% confidence
4W/ 10G
99% confidence
4W/ 10G
Hull City
# 05 · 63 pts94%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
Southampton
# 06 · 57 pts40%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
6W/ 9G
99% confidence
7W/ 9G
Wrexham
# 07 · 57 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 9G
90% confidence
6W/ 9G
99% confidence
7W/ 9G
Watford
# 08 · 55 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
7W/ 9G
99% confidence
8W/ 9G
Derby
# 09 · 54 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 9G
90% confidence
7W/ 9G
99% confidence
8W/ 9G
Swansea
# 10 · 52 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 9G
90% confidence
8W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Birmingham
# 11 · 52 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 9G
90% confidence
8W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Bristol City
# 12 · 50 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
8W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
9W/ 9G
Sheffield Utd
# 13 · 49 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
10W/ 9G
Preston
# 14 · 49 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
10W/ 9G
Norwich
# 15 · 48 pts4%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
9W/ 9G
90% confidence
9W/ 9G
99% confidence
10W/ 9G
Stoke City
# 16 · 48 pts0%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
13W/ 9G
90% confidence
14W/ 9G
99% confidence
14W/ 9G
QPR
# 17 · 47 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 9G
90% confidence
1W/ 9G
99% confidence
2W/ 9G
Charlton
# 18 · 47 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 9G
90% confidence
1W/ 9G
99% confidence
2W/ 9G
Leicester
# 19 · 44 pts2%Escape Relegation
REL
2%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 9G
90% confidence
2W/ 9G
99% confidence
3W/ 9G
Portsmouth
# 20 · 40 pts7%Escape Relegation
REL
7%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 10G
90% confidence
4W/ 10G
99% confidence
4W/ 10G
Blackburn
# 21 · 39 pts48%Escape Relegation
REL
48%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
Oxford United
# 22 · 38 pts59%Escape Relegation
REL
59%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
4W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
West Brom
# 23 · 37 pts83%Escape Relegation
REL
83%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 9G
90% confidence
5W/ 9G
99% confidence
5W/ 9G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 12 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
13W/ 9G
90% confidence
13W/ 9G
99% confidence
14W/ 9G