Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Coventry
# 01 · 80 pts99%Promotion
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
2W/ 7G
90% confidence
2W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Middlesbrough
# 02 · 71 pts56%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 7G
90% confidence
2W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Millwall
# 03 · 69 pts77%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 7G
90% confidence
3W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Ipswich
# 04 · 69 pts66%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
2W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
4W/ 8G
Hull City
# 05 · 66 pts82%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
3W/ 7G
90% confidence
5W/ 7G
99% confidence
5W/ 7G
Southampton
# 06 · 63 pts59%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 7G
90% confidence
5W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
Wrexham
# 07 · 63 pts39%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
5W/ 7G
90% confidence
5W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
Derby
# 08 · 60 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
6W/ 7G
90% confidence
6W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
Watford
# 09 · 56 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
7W/ 7G
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Norwich
# 10 · 54 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
QPR
# 11 · 53 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Birmingham
# 12 · 53 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Swansea
# 13 · 52 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Preston
# 14 · 52 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 7G
90% confidence
0W/ 7G
99% confidence
1W/ 7G
Stoke City
# 15 · 51 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 7G
90% confidence
0W/ 7G
99% confidence
1W/ 7G
Bristol City
# 16 · 51 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
0W/ 7G
90% confidence
0W/ 7G
99% confidence
1W/ 7G
Sheffield Utd
# 17 · 50 pts1%Promotion Playoff
REL
0%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—
Charlton
# 18 · 48 pts1%Escape Relegation
REL
1%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
1W/ 7G
90% confidence
1W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Leicester
# 19 · 45 pts6%Escape Relegation
REL
6%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
2W/ 7G
90% confidence
2W/ 7G
99% confidence
3W/ 7G
Blackburn
# 20 · 43 pts32%Escape Relegation
REL
32%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 7G
90% confidence
3W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
West Brom
# 21 · 43 pts26%Escape Relegation
REL
26%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
3W/ 7G
90% confidence
3W/ 7G
99% confidence
7W/ 7G
Portsmouth
# 22 · 40 pts56%Escape Relegation
REL
56%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 8G
90% confidence
4W/ 8G
99% confidence
8W/ 8G
Oxford United
# 23 · 39 pts80%Escape Relegation
REL
80%
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
4W/ 7G
90% confidence
5W/ 7G
99% confidence
5W/ 7G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 24 · 12 pts99%Escape Relegation
REL
✓
Wins for Escape Relegation
75% confidence
—
90% confidence
—
99% confidence
—