Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Middlesbrough
# 01 · 17 pts33%Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
25W/ 39G
Stoke City
# 02 · 13 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
21W/ 39G
99% confidence
22W/ 39G
Coventry
# 03 · 13 pts28%Promotion Playoff
REL
3%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
21W/ 39G
99% confidence
22W/ 39G
Bristol City
# 04 · 12 pts21%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Leicester
# 05 · 12 pts27%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Preston
# 06 · 12 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Charlton
# 07 · 11 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
West Brom
# 08 · 11 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
QPR
# 09 · 11 pts23%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Millwall
# 10 · 11 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
9%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Birmingham
# 11 · 10 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Ipswich
# 12 · 10 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
22W/ 39G
99% confidence
23W/ 39G
Swansea
# 13 · 9 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Norwich
# 14 · 8 pts15%Promotion Playoff
REL
10%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Wrexham
# 15 · 8 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Watford
# 16 · 8 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Portsmouth
# 17 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Hull City
# 18 · 8 pts13%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Blackburn
# 19 · 7 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
18%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Southampton
# 20 · 7 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
23W/ 39G
99% confidence
24W/ 39G
Derby
# 21 · 6 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
24%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
25W/ 39G
Oxford United
# 22 · 5 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
23%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
25W/ 39G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 23 · 5 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
32%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 39G
90% confidence
24W/ 39G
99% confidence
25W/ 39G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 3 pts3%Promotion Playoff
REL
39%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 39G
90% confidence
25W/ 39G
99% confidence
26W/ 39G