Live projections
The Kinetic
Ledger.
Complete magic-number analysis for every team. Mathematical certainty vs. atmospheric variance.
Middlesbrough
# 01 · 18 pts33%Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Coventry
# 02 · 16 pts33%Promotion
REL
1%
Wins for Promotion
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
24W/ 38G
99% confidence
26W/ 38G
Stoke City
# 03 · 14 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 38G
90% confidence
21W/ 38G
99% confidence
22W/ 38G
West Brom
# 04 · 14 pts26%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
20W/ 38G
90% confidence
21W/ 38G
99% confidence
22W/ 38G
Bristol City
# 05 · 13 pts25%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
21W/ 38G
99% confidence
22W/ 38G
Leicester
# 06 · 13 pts22%Promotion Playoff
REL
4%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
21W/ 38G
99% confidence
22W/ 38G
Preston
# 07 · 13 pts24%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
21W/ 38G
99% confidence
22W/ 38G
Swansea
# 08 · 12 pts18%Promotion Playoff
REL
8%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Charlton
# 09 · 12 pts20%Promotion Playoff
REL
7%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
QPR
# 10 · 12 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
5%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Birmingham
# 11 · 11 pts17%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Millwall
# 12 · 11 pts14%Promotion Playoff
REL
13%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Ipswich
# 13 · 11 pts19%Promotion Playoff
REL
6%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
21W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Southampton
# 14 · 10 pts16%Promotion Playoff
REL
11%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
22W/ 38G
99% confidence
23W/ 38G
Wrexham
# 15 · 9 pts11%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Watford
# 16 · 9 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
14%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Portsmouth
# 17 · 9 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
17%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Hull City
# 18 · 9 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
15%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Norwich
# 19 · 8 pts12%Promotion Playoff
REL
16%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
22W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Blackburn
# 20 · 7 pts8%Promotion Playoff
REL
21%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Derby
# 21 · 7 pts9%Promotion Playoff
REL
22%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
23W/ 38G
99% confidence
24W/ 38G
Oxford United
# 22 · 6 pts10%Promotion Playoff
REL
23%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
24W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Sheffield Wednesday
# 23 · 6 pts6%Promotion Playoff
REL
27%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
23W/ 38G
90% confidence
24W/ 38G
99% confidence
25W/ 38G
Sheffield Utd
# 24 · 3 pts2%Promotion Playoff
REL
45%
Wins for Promotion Playoff
75% confidence
24W/ 38G
90% confidence
25W/ 38G
99% confidence
26W/ 38G